In locally advanced rectal cancer, the prediction of tumor response during and after neoadjuvant treatment remains challenging. In terms of organ preservation, adaptive radiotherapy, and intensified (total) neoadjuvant therapies, biomarkers are desirable for patient stratification.

In 16 patients, weekly blood samples (n = 86) to detect cell-free tumor DNA (ctDNA) during long-course neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy were analyzed. Data were correlated with initial tumor volumes, MRI response in week 2 and 5 of radiotherapy as well as with pathologic tumor response after resection and outcome parameters.

Most patients showed decreasing ctDNA during the course of radiochemotherapy. However, we found heterogenous dynamics of ctDNA and could identify three groups: (1) decline (2) no clear decline and/or late shedding (3) persistence of ctDNA. In seven patients we could detect significant amounts of ctDNA in week 5 or week 6 of treatment. In our pilot cohort, we did not find significant correlations of ctDNA dynamics with pathologic response or outcome parameters. However, patients with distinct decline of ctDNA had larger tumor volumes prior to treatment, and MRI imaging in week 2 and 5 revealed bigger absolute decrease of tumor volumes. If significant levels of ctDNA were found in week 5 and / or 6, patients showed less absolute tumor volume decrease in week 2 and 5.

Weekly measurement of ctDNA during radiochemotherapy is feasible and might represent a promising biomarker. Bigger initial primary tumors showed different ctDNA shedding profiles compared with smaller primary tumors and correlations of ctDNA dynamics with early imaging response were found.